SP&R Fall 2017 PA Statewide Omnibus Poll

Conducted September 20 – 29, 2017
Sample Size 741 Registered/Likely Voters

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
1. Approve 275 37%
2. Disapprove 392 53%
3. Undecided 74 10%

Do you think Tom Wolf has done his job as Governor well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?
1. Reelect Wolf 175 35%
2. New person 251 50%
3. Undecided 78 15%

Do you think Bob Casey, Jr. has done his job as United State Senator well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?
[N=504]
1. Reelect Casey, Jr. 134 27%
2. New person 231 46%
3. Undecided 139 28%

Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or something else?
1. Republican 292 39%
2. Democrat 352 47%
3. Independent 56 08%
4. Other 27 04%
5. Decline to answer 15 02%

What is your age according to the following brackets: 18 – 29, 30 – 44, 45 – 54, 55 – 64 or 65 and over?
1. 18-29 96 13%
2. 30-44 148 20%
3. 45-54 170 23%
4. 55-64 156 21%
5. 65+ 170 23%

Regardless of how you are registered to vote, do you tend to think of yourself more as a Republican, a Democrat or an Independent?
1. More as a Republican 220 30%
2. More as a Democrat 231 31%
3. More as an Independent 256 35%
4. None of the above 25 03%
5. Decline to answer 9 01%

Is your main racial background Caucasian, African-American, Latino or something else?
1. White 585 79%
2. African American 74 10%
3. Latino 22 03%
4. Other 37 05%
5. Decline to answer 22 03%

Gender:
1. Male 381 51%
2. Female 360 49%

Area (from Record):
(02%) 1. Northwest [Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Venango, Warren, Forest]
(13%) 2. Southwest [Lawrence, Beaver, Washington, Greene, Fayette, Westmoreland, Indiana, Armstrong,
Butler]
(15%) 3. The “T”/Central [Jefferson, Elk, McKean, Cameron, Clarion, Clearfield, Centre, Cambria, Somerset
Somerset, Bedford, Fulton, Franklin, Huntingdon, Blair, Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna,
Wyoming, Sullivan, Lycoming, Clinton, Union, Snyder, Northumberland, Montour, Columbia, Mifflin,
Juniata]
(11%) 4. Northeast/Lehigh Valley [Luzerne, Carbon, Monroe, Schuylkill, Lackawanna, Lehigh, Northampton,
Pike, Wayne]
(16%) 5. South Central [Perry, Cumberland, Adams, York, Lancaster, Lebanon, Dauphin, Berks]
(22%) 6. Southeast [Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks]
(08%) 7. Allegheny County
(12%) 8. Philadelphia

Methodology: This poll is co-sponsored by WHTM-TV/ABC27 News and conducted by Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc1. Interviews were conducted September 19-26, 2017 with 741 Pennsylvania registered voters, most of whom have prior vote history in recent general elections (see sample frame description for vote history selection and composite universe). Potential respondents are randomly contacted using random selection procedures. Most interviews are conducted with live telephone agents from SP&R’s call center at 10 N. Progress Avenue in Susquehanna Township, Dauphin County. Results are carefully monitored to ensure a representative sample of Pennsylvania’s electorate is achieved based on party registration, geography, age, gender, racial background and other demographics. The results are sometimes statistically weighted to account for nonresponse and/or coverage bias.

The margin of error for a sample size of 741 is +/-3.4% at the 95% confidence level.