ABC27 poll: Clinton, Trump in tight race for Pennsylvania

Hillary Clinton at a campaign event in Harrisburg on Oct. 4, 2016 and Donald Trump at a rally in Manheim on Oct. 1, 2016. (WHTM)
Hillary Clinton at a campaign event in Harrisburg on Oct. 4, 2016 and Donald Trump at a rally in Manheim on Oct. 1, 2016. (WHTM)

HARRISBURG, Pa. (WHTM) – A new poll shows Pennsylvania is still a close contest for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

The poll commissioned by ABC27 News and conducted by Harrisburg-based Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc. found Clinton had a four-point lead over Trump, 44-40 percent, in the days before Sunday’s debate.

With the margin of error of 3.5 percentage points, the poll shows Trump is still in the race.

“He’s still in this thing,” pollster Jim Lee said. “Yes, the election still leans toward Hillary and the window probably has narrowed for Trump, but I think if we’ve learned anything to this point, it’s this guy has a following that seems to be rock solid.”

Libertarian Gary Johnson was supported by four percent of likely voters and Green party candidate Jill Stein received two percent of the vote. Eight percent of those surveyed were undecided.

Voters generally don’t have high opinions of either candidate. Only 36 percent had a favorable opinion of Trump and just 39 percent had a favorable opinion of Clinton. Forty-six percent had a favorable opinion of President Obama.

However, 86 percent of voters said they strongly support their candidate, and 81 percent said they had made up their mind either during the spring primaries or over the summer. Seventy-five percent said the debates would not influence their vote, and 79 percent said they haven’t been influenced by campaign ads.

In the race for Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seat, Republican incumbent Pat Toomey has a four-point lead over Democratic challenger Katie McGinty, 42-38 percent.

The telephone survey of 764 likely voters was conducted Oct. 4-9.

Online: Oct 4-9 poll

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