Bright and sunny skies brought a pleasant early February day to the Midstate. Highs climbed to the lower and middle 40s after a seasonably chilly start to the day with readings in the 20s. Mainly clear skies bring a repeat of Friday night’s weather, but again our temperatures rebound for Sunday afternoon with highs on average in the middle 40s.
After Sunday’s quiet weather locally, a more active pattern again develops. The upcoming weather pattern over the next 7 to 10 days is completely different from the blizzard we experienced two weeks ago, but there are many moving pieces to watch. The east coast of the United States remains the most active part of the nation in terms of weather, and another coastal low will miss us to the east during the day on Monday. At the same time, an Alberta Clipper and deep trough of low pressure will be sinking south across the northern U.S. This clipper likely brings some light snow later Monday afternoon and Monday night. The clipper will also bring plenty of cold air to set the stage for a chilly mid-February. A transfer from the Alberta Clipper to another strengthening coastal storm will produce intermittent periods of snow late Monday into Tuesday. With this many parts to a disorganized storm setup, the forecast guidance will struggle to nail down timing and snowfall amounts. This is already happening with the latest data. It appears a few inches are possible — but nothing like two weeks ago. We will get more specific with amounts by tomorrow evening.
As the coastal storm pulls away from us, cold air then sinks farther south and takes over our weather. The active pattern may not be done either, with multiple disturbances possibly affecting our forecast through next weekend. There is nothing certain yet as the best chance of snow is late Monday into Tuesday, but it would not be surprising to see more wintry weather before the cold air exits the region.
-Meteorologist Dan Tomaso